There was no global warming pause!

After correction for ocean observations taken using different methods, and after the addition of new data... it seems there was no global warming hiatus, in fact warming is accelerating.

In fact the researcher's tried to break their own research by cheery picking the worst possible dates, and still there was a warming trend.

Should also be remembered that this is despite the influence of natural cooling events like volcanism, ocean heat uptake, solar variation, predominance of La Nina's. Without such natural variation we would be warming even faster.

But the authors went further by trying to cherry-pick the start and end dates. For instance, they stacked the cards against themselves by purposefully picking a very hot year to start the analysis and a cool year to terminate the study (1998 and 2012, respectively). Even this cherry-picked duration showed a warming trend. Furthermore, the warming trend was significant.

So what does this all mean? Well we knew the globe was warming. The best evidence has always been by measuring the enormous amount of heat going into the oceans. But what this new paper shows is that the warming in the recent years has not stopped and has not even slowed down. With 2015 so far running hotter than any year on record, and with May temperatures expected to be in the 0.79–0.84°C anomaly range, it becomes increasingly likely that we will set another all-time record this year. With hope, this will end the discussion of the so-called “pause” or “hiatus,” which never existed in the first place.

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2015/jun/04/new-research-suggests-global-warming-is-accelerating

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/jun/04/global-warming-hasnt-paused-study-finds

Don't worry though, the deniers will deliberately misinterpret the data, or just tell us it's all a big conspiracy.

http://joannenova.com.au/2015/06/seven-steps-to-adjust-the-pause-away-by-karl-in-2015/#more-42855

A bit about your source...

Joanne Nova is a writer and blogger and TV host. She is NOT a climate scientist. She wrote a book. That book was promoted and distributed by the despicable, and highly discredited Heartlands Institute.

In short, she is a well known denier, with zero qualifications in climate science, promoted by a discredited right wing organisation.

Below is a fine example of her ignorance....

http://www.skepticalscience.com/How-Jo-Nova-doesnt-get-past-climate-change.html


Some more...

Joanne "Jo" Nova (real name Joanne Codling) is an Australian writer, speaker, former TV host, anti-science presenter and a professional wingnut.[1] She maintains a blog which regularly regurgitates debunked climate denial myths, making her the poor Aussie's Ian Plimer or Andrew Bolt.[2] The site also has on its header the highly ironic phrase "Tackling tribalist groupthink." She has also written a handbook called "The Skeptic's Handbook," a brief pamphlet that reads like it was copy-pasted from another denialist site without the slightest whiff of actual research and peppered with pretty pictures.[3] The handbook concentrates on a few of the greatest hits, including: Satellites and weather balloons showing no warming (they do); the Oregon Petition "debunking" the scientific consensus (it doesn't); carbon dioxide lagging, not leading temperature change (ignoring Milankovitch cycles and feedbacks); the carbon dioxide effect being saturated (it isn't); and bad weather station siting (relying on the self-debunked work of Anthony Watts).[4] In between regurgitating debunked climate myths, she often posts non-sensical fiscal arguments; then breaks into a general bitching session about anything including the denial crowd pleaser, the Gore bash fest. She downplays the funding she and other denialists receive from the Heartland Institute and the Science and Public Policy Institute.

This one is perfect, should give you an idea what this stupid women is all about...

https://roymustard.wordpress.com/2013/05/31/conspiracy-theorist-jo-nova-denies-being-conspiracy-theorist/

Seems she and her partner latch on to every conspiracy theory known to man.


Listen the highly qualified scientists Steve... not known deniers, infamous for junk science, like, Jo Nova. No idea why she doesn't use her real name.

Keep going with the character assassinations. Don't attack the message, go for the person. Top notch mate

stevemac wrote: Keep going with the character assassinations. Don't attack the message, go for the person. Top notch mate

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/09/11/list-of-excuses-for-the-pause-in-global-warming-is-now-up-to-52/

I should add, and this is very important. Even if the so called Hiatus, or more accurately slowdown in rate of warming, did occur... It's still totally irrelevant in terms of long term, global rise in temperature.

The rate at which temperature has increased since the industrial revolution has not just slowed down in the past, it's paused and dropped too. But the overall long term trend has been a consistent rise as a result of our emissions.

Please remember, that it's a team of Federal Scientists that are saying there was no pause. That's one team. Until the results are reproduced by other teams it's of interest but not necessarily definitive.

This is why I'm baffled by the point of your post. Either way, hiatus or no hiatus, it's not relevant to long term climate change. It's quite laughable really how the climate change denier brigade have latched on to the so called hiatus to further their cause, when it actually does nothing of the sort.

Scientists look at global "climate" change, not weather. And climate is measured over many decades. They do this to filter out the short term reductions in temperature, and yes pauses too. They do this to filter out natural variability to reveal our contribution to warming.

Don't be fooled by WUWT or any of the climate denier websites funded by right wing organizations Steve. They are funded by mega powerful oil companies, desperate to keep selling us their despicable product.

And certainly don't listen to your Australian PM.

My contention is the degree of warming attributed to CO2 and ultimately the man-made portion of it.

There have been over 1000 peer reviewed scientific papers, that all agree that mankind is making a SIGNIFICANT contribution to global warming. Scientists aren't idiots. You and I are uneducated in this field, the majority of the deniers are uneducated in this field.

Mankind has been aware of the impact of our fossil fuel emissions since way back in 1896, when Arrhenius published the first calculation of global warming from human CO2 emissions. This stuff is far from new. We have research spanning almost 120 years.

should have been added to your original post and headline. You gave the impression the outcome of the study was definitive.

True, fair point. Although in the post itself, nowhere did I claim it was definitive, in fact I said... " it SEEMS there was no global warming hiatus" but yes, fair point.

The notion that big-oil is funding these so-called deniers (be it bloggers or disavowed scientists) is a myth perpetrated to deflect the attention from the message they convey.

Steve... you are kidding right? And you are aware that the nonsense spouted by the deniers is relatively easily countered with scientific fact. It's just misrepresentation and often downright lies. It's only the scientifically uneducated that fall for it.

Lets look at Exon Mobil...

Back in 2010, they funded climate change denier groups to the tune of $1.5 million. And this was despite the fact that they pledged to refrain from doing so.

http://www.desmogblog.com/exxonmobil-gave-15m-climate-denier-groups-last-year-breaking-its-pledge-stop-funding-denial-machine

http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/environment/article2649265.ece

Greenpeace’s ExxonSecrets project has documented the nearly $25 million spent by ExxonMobil since 1998 to fund climate denier groups.

http://www.theverge.com/2015/2/27/8122913/exxonmobil-climate-change-denier-willie-soon

When questioned by the Times about the company’s previous decision to stop funding denier groups, Exxon chose to recycle its pledge yet again, announcing that it would stop supporting three of the four groups from now on.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/02/22/us/ties-to-corporate-cash-for-climate-change-researcher-Wei-Hock-Soon.html?_r=0

A prominent academic and climate change denier’s work was funded almost entirely by the energy industry, receiving more than $1.2m from companies, lobby groups and oil billionaires over more than a decade, newly released documents show.

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/feb/21/climate-change-denier-willie-soon-funded-energy-industry

Southern Company, one of the largest utility companies in the US, funded Willie Soon right up to 2015, to the tune of $400,000.

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/mar/25/fossil-fuel-firms-are-still-bankrolling-climate-denial-lobby-groups

Then we have the infamous Koch brothers, oil billionaires...

http://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2015/3/11/koch-brothers-fight-climate-funding-probe.html

http://www.greenpeace.org/usa/en/campaigns/global-warming-and-energy/polluterwatch/koch-industries/

The Koch Brothers have sent at least $79,048,951 to groups denying climate change science since 1997.

http://www.greenpeace.org/usa/en/campaigns/global-warming-and-energy/polluterwatch/koch-industries/

David Suzuki: Koch Brothers Continue to Oil the Machine of Climate Change Denial

Brothers Charles and David Koch run Koch Industries, the second-largest privately owned company in the U.S., behind Cargill. They’ve given close to US$70 million to climate change denial front groups, some of which they helped start, including Americans for Prosperity, founded by David Koch and a major force behind the Tea Party

http://ecowatch.com/2015/04/08/koch-brothers-climate-change-denial/

Then we have the Heartland Institute. I'm sure you've heard of them. Infamous for funding the deniers. And who funds the Heartland Institute? Big oil... $736,500 followed by $800,000.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Heartland_Institute

Interestingly the Heartland Institute is using the same strategy they used to deny smoking was harmful. Misrepresenting the science and discrediting scientists. And yes, back then they were funded by the tobacco industry.

And I'm afraid BP are guilty too, even now they are still funding the deniers...

For one, BP still channels funds through its political action committee to climate science-denying US policymakers such as senator James Inhofe, chair of the senate’s environment and public works committee. While such direct contributions to politicians are a matter of public record, companies continue to sow climate doubt and influence climate policy in ways that are far more opaque.

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/mar/25/fossil-fuel-firms-are-still-bankrolling-climate-denial-lobby-groups

WUWT doesn’t run articles for hire, it is not nor has it ever been on the payroll of any company or organization (and that goes for me personally too), and it is managed mostly by myself with the help of about half a dozen volunteer moderators."

Ha, that me smile.

However, Anthony Watts, a weathercaster who runs one of the most prominent anti-science blogs, Watts Up With That?, acknowledged Heartland was helping him with $90,000 for a new project.

And Heartland are funded by the Koch oil, billionaires...


http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2012/feb/15/leak-exposes-heartland-institute-climate

Here's some interesting facts regarding Anthony Watts...

http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Anthony_Watts

He does not have a university qualification and has no climate credentials other than being a radio weather announcer. Watts is on the payroll of the Heartland Institute, which itself is funded by polluting industries. Watts attended Purdue University from 1975 to 1982 but left without graduating.[2] A number of direct queries to Watts to find out if he graduated from college were rebuffed,[3] but a direct query to Purdue revealed that he did not obtain a degree from the university. Some online lists incorrectly refer to Watts as "AMS Certified", but this is incorrect; the American Meteorological Society reserves its "AMS Certified" designation for its Certified Broadcast Meteorologists and Certified Consulting Meteorologists, and Watts posesses neither certification.

You can listen to amateurs with zero qualifications if you like, but I prefer highly qualified scientists that went to university, and unlike Watts, did indeed earn degree's and PhD's.

Global warming deniers are like the flat earth society. No matter how much evidence is presented, they will stick their head in the sand.

Why are they always right wingers too?

Ironically, I live in one of the few places that will get colder due to global warming.

Flyer10 wrote: Global warming deniers are like the flat earth society. No matter how much evidence is presented, they will stick their head in the sand. Why are they always right wingers too? Ironically, I live in one of the few places that will get colder due to global warming.

Theoretically, in the long term, the UK could too. I look at it as global energy increase as opposed to global warming. That includes energy that goes into weather systems. If sometime in the future the Atlantic Conveyor switched off.... very chilly hear in the UK.

Looks like there's a possibility we may have a maunder minimum on the way. In which case it certainly will get a bit chilly in the UK. Not enough to counter MMGW though.

I know what you mean, no matter how much evidence you show the deniers, they will never be convinced. They would rather believe Bob the weather guy on his website with no scientific credentials is right and scientists with PhD's are all wrong.